Rosh Hashanah Effect

171 days until next holiday
Outside holiday period
Sell on Rosh Hashanah, Buy on Yom Kippur

A famous Wall Street adage suggesting that the stock market tends to weaken during the 10-day period from Rosh Hashanah (Jewish New Year) to Yom Kippur (Day of Atonement). Explore this intriguing seasonal pattern observed since 1987.

2026 Jewish Holiday Schedule
Rosh Hashanah

2026년 9월 11일 금요일

Jewish New Year. Traditionally considered a sell signal for markets

Yom Kippur

2026년 9월 21일 월요일

Day of Atonement. Traditionally considered a buy signal for markets

Holiday period info

Period: A 10-day holiday period. Historically, markets have tended to show weakness during this time.

Jewish Holiday Calendar

Jewish Holiday Calendar

2026 Mar
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31

Legend

Holiday period
Rosh Hashanah
Yom Kippur
Today
Trading strategy

3-step investment framework

Sell before Rosh Hashanah

Sell holdings before the start of the New Year (Rosh Hashanah)

1-2 days before holiday start
Watch the market

Observe market trends and wait during the holiday period

Rosh Hashanah ~ Yom Kippur
Buy after Yom Kippur

Buy back stocks after the Day of Atonement (Yom Kippur) ends

Right after holiday end

Historical background

The Rosh Hashanah effect is a seasonal pattern observed on Wall Street since 1987, in which the stock market tends to weaken during the major Jewish holiday period.


📈 1987 - First observation

The pattern of declining stock returns during the holiday period was first systematically recorded.

📊 2000s - Academic research

Research on this phenomenon was published in several finance journals.

🔄 Present - Ongoing observation

An interesting market anomaly still observed every year.

Analysis methodology

We analyze holiday-period performance of major ETFs (SPY, QQQ, DIA) and compare historical patterns with current trends.


📅 Holiday period definition

The 10-day period from the first day of Rosh Hashanah through Yom Kippur

📊 Return calculation

Track daily and cumulative returns during the holiday period

🔍 Pattern analysis

Statistical significance over the past 30 years of data

Advertisement